The Critical Masses
Friday, July 1, 2011
FX PAIRS
I have added FX . Compared to equities, generating fx triggers is far more simplistic for Fred .
Fred has suggested a NZD/JPY short at 66.70ish (now)
Fred has suggested a NZD/JPY short at 66.70ish (now)
Sunday, June 26, 2011
Pairs Trading
Sorry for my absence but sometimes real life does get in the way ...!
Fred has had a rather poor start opening his career with some awful long picks at what may possibly be a long term market top. The shorts although a little in the green have not performed enough to make up for the longs and hence Fred is down to date.
It is still very early days yet...I am excited about this. Generating trading signals from out of the www fascinates me and is a project I will continue with regardless of any short term failures and lack of interest from anyone else I talk to about this endeavour (eyes glaze over at the mere mention of the word 'stock'!)
I have made a few adjustments to Fred in order to refine the quality of the signal. From now on all trades will be paired (same sector, long short). Unlike most pairs trading however I will not be looking for price to converge to the mean but rather will be trying to predict their divergence. A rather crude neural network has been 'bolted' on to Fred. The idea behind this being Fred will be able to select what he deems to be high probability trades...
So for every trade Fred selects ,an opposite trade in the same sector also needs to be selected. If Fred can not find a pair then no trade will be taken. Also note that a component of the DJI30 will on most occasions make up one half of the pair.I have done this in order to keep the vast memory requirements down to a couple of TB's
Right ,with that in mind, here are the pairs to be opened on Monday 27/6.
PSMT long / WMT short
BMY long / PFE short
PTR long / XOM short
HANS long / KO short
BEAV long / BA short
Regards,
Cruncher
Fred has had a rather poor start opening his career with some awful long picks at what may possibly be a long term market top. The shorts although a little in the green have not performed enough to make up for the longs and hence Fred is down to date.
It is still very early days yet...I am excited about this. Generating trading signals from out of the www fascinates me and is a project I will continue with regardless of any short term failures and lack of interest from anyone else I talk to about this endeavour (eyes glaze over at the mere mention of the word 'stock'!)
I have made a few adjustments to Fred in order to refine the quality of the signal. From now on all trades will be paired (same sector, long short). Unlike most pairs trading however I will not be looking for price to converge to the mean but rather will be trying to predict their divergence. A rather crude neural network has been 'bolted' on to Fred. The idea behind this being Fred will be able to select what he deems to be high probability trades...
So for every trade Fred selects ,an opposite trade in the same sector also needs to be selected. If Fred can not find a pair then no trade will be taken. Also note that a component of the DJI30 will on most occasions make up one half of the pair.I have done this in order to keep the vast memory requirements down to a couple of TB's
Right ,with that in mind, here are the pairs to be opened on Monday 27/6.
PSMT long / WMT short
BMY long / PFE short
PTR long / XOM short
HANS long / KO short
BEAV long / BA short
Regards,
Cruncher
Monday, June 6, 2011
Monday 6/6 Open
The following should be sold at the open on Monday 6/6
EBAY
LRCX
GRMN
PCLN
VRSN
The following should be bought at the open
NFLX
Still holding all of last weeks trades
Regards,
Cruncher
Friday, June 3, 2011
Week 1
Well that was a less than mind blowing first week for Fred! After a nice pop on Tuesday it’s been all downhill, outperforming the benchmarks to the down side...
I was hoping some close signals would get generated on Thursday and today but Fred says hold these longs.
This is how the end of the first week looks;
AKAM / -3.18%
CA/ -2.08%
CELG/ -2.08%
CMCSA/ -3%
JPM/ -3.12%
SNDK/ -4.93%
DD/ -4.55%
I would like to say that Fred at least called all 7 of these up on Tuesday, but fact of the matter is if dog shit had a price, even that would have gone up on Tuesday!
Anyway Sunday will bring a fresh batch of signals. I will post them then.
Hope you all had a good week.
Regards,
Cruncher
Tuesday, May 31, 2011
Nice Start!!
Well all 7 picks are are up. SNDK and CA have done especially well today. Holding all positions.
Sunday, May 29, 2011
In a Nutshell
web crawler-> selected websites-> data process-> load algorithm-> print chart-> enter/exit trade.
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